The 2025 hurricane season has kicked off with surprising calm, but don’t let your guard down. As we step into July, a tropical system has begun to form off the east coast of Georgia, and meteorologists are closely monitoring its trajectory. Spaghetti models indicate potential paths toward the U.S. East Coast, with the storm possibly scraping parts of the Mid-Atlantic and just sidestepping New York City.

The system, dubbed “Invest 92L,” lies a mere 100 miles off Georgia’s shore. Early signals show it developing, with increased thunderstorm activity stirring in the area. While a defined center has yet to emerge, Hurricane Hunters are en route to investigate this brewing storm, which is likely to intensify.

As noted by weather experts, the thunderstorm activity surrounding 92L is indicative of a healthy disturbance. However, without a well-formed center of circulation, the storm could remain disorganized. The uncertainty surrounding its development should not be taken lightly—there’s potential for this system to strengthen rapidly.

The European model provides a substantial prediction: a 70% likelihood that we will see a tropical or subtropical depression form. Time is of the essence, as conditions are ripe for development, but the window is narrow—expected landfall could occur as soon as Saturday night or Sunday.

Current tracking models suggest that this storm could take a coastal route up the East Coast while remaining close to the shoreline and avoiding a direct hit on New York City. As we brace for what’s ahead, it’s crucial to keep informed and prepared, especially with August and September being the busiest months for hurricane activity.

Stay alert—the next named storm will be Chantal.