Every game remaining on Notre Dame’s schedule is do-or-die. With two losses already on their record, the Fighting Irish need to not only win but also dominate to send a clear message to the selection committee. If they falter again, any shot at the playoffs is lost.

The defeats to top-ranked Miami and Texas A&M sting, but they don’t overshadow the urgent reality: Notre Dame has zero room for error. Their upcoming matchup against Boise State is pivotal—failure here could completely derail their season.

Boise State, presently sitting at 3-1, finds itself in a similar predicament. After stumbling in their opener against South Florida, they desperately need a victory to regain their standing and keep their College Football Playoff aspirations alive.

Boise State vs. Notre Dame Odds and Prediction

Week 5 was a turning point for Notre Dame as they crushed Arkansas 56-13, showcasing their potential. With this win, they’ve resurrected their playoff hopes and demonstrated that they won’t go down without a fight. However, consistency is key. Over the next few weeks, they must build on this victory. Fortunately, their schedule ahead lacks formidable foes, especially given USC’s recent loss.

This urgency to impress the selection committee cannot be overstated. Notre Dame needs to replicate last week’s dominant display if they want to command respect and solidify their postseason intentions. Freshman quarterback CJ Carr stepped up in the Arkansas win, throwing for 354 yards and four touchdowns. They must capitalize on their strength in the running game, especially since Boise State’s defense has been vulnerable, allowing an average of 168.3 rushing yards per game.

A solid ground game will keep the clock running—potentially complicating the spread for bettors. But when it comes to winning, it’s about efficiency and execution.

Boise State’s offense, having found new life after the South Florida misstep, will not roll over. They are ready for a fight. While Notre Dame’s defense is tough, the Broncos can make a significant impact. Given the size of the line, expect a couple of Boise scores combined with Notre Dame’s ground-heavy approach to keep the action close.

The Play: Boise State +20.5 (-110, with FanDuel)


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