Democrats in Disarray: Jasmine Crockett Refuses to Back Her Own Party’s Texas Senate Nominee

When your own party colleague won’t even commit to supporting you in a critical Senate race, you know the wheels are coming off the Democratic machine in Texas.

Rep. Jasmine Crockett just delivered a devastating blow to James Talarico’s Senate campaign—and she did it with the kind of brutal honesty Democrats usually reserve for closed-door strategy sessions. Asked directly if Talarico can flip Texas blue this fall, the congresswoman offered a resounding “I don’t know.”

That’s not hedging. That’s a death sentence.

Crockett’s skepticism cuts deeper than typical political rivalry. She’s reading the tea leaves that matter most in modern campaigns: the money. And right now, the cash tells a story Democrats don’t want to hear.

Follow the Money, Forget the Hype

“I watch money,” Crockett stated bluntly. It’s the most honest assessment any Democrat has offered about Texas’s supposed competitiveness this cycle.

The Republican National Senatorial Committee isn’t pouring resources into defending Ken Paxton’s seat. They’re investing in North Carolina and Georgia instead. That should tell you everything about their internal polling.

But here’s the kicker: Neither is the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee rushing to Talarico’s rescue.

“National Democrats have not decided to dump money into Texas either,” Crockett acknowledged. Both parties have run the numbers, and both have reached the same conclusion about this race.

A Primary Grudge That Won’t Die

The bad blood between Crockett and Talarico runs deep. After losing to the 37-year-old state lawmaker by a decisive 52.4% to 46.2% margin in March’s Democratic primary, Crockett has made her feelings crystal clear.

When Talarico invited her to speak at the Texas Democratic Party convention this summer, she didn’t just decline. She didn’t even listen to his message, dismissing it as an “afterthought invite.”

That’s not party unity. That’s open warfare.

Crockett has also questioned whether Talarico can connect with black voters across Texas—a demographic Democrats absolutely cannot win without in a statewide race.

The Polls Don’t Tell the Real Story

Recent surveys showing Talarico with a narrow lead over Paxton might generate breathless headlines, but Crockett isn’t buying what the pollsters are selling.

She’s looking at where the major players are actually spending their money. National Republicans see no threat in Texas. National Democrats see no opportunity. The campaign committees on both sides have examined their internal data and decided to invest their dollars elsewhere.

“It looks like status quo,” Crockett concluded.

October May Come Too Late

Crockett remains noncommittal about whether she’ll even campaign for her former rival. She told reporters she won’t make a decision until late September or October, when she starts “digging into which races I’m going to help out in, the races that I really feel like we can win.”

Translation: Talarico’s race isn’t one she believes Democrats can win.

For a sitting Democratic congresswoman to essentially write off her party’s Senate nominee in a state where Democrats have been promising a blue wave for over a decade reveals the emperor has no clothes.

The Stakes Couldn’t Be Higher

Democrats need to flip four Senate seats this November to reclaim control of the upper chamber. Every competitive race matters. Every potential pickup opportunity deserves maximum effort and resources.

Yet here sits Texas—supposedly competitive according to some polls—being ignored by both parties’ campaign war chests while a Democratic incumbent openly questions her nominee’s viability.

The Democratic Party keeps insisting Texas is turning blue any election cycle now. They’ve been making that promise since at least 2018. The reality check from Jasmine Crockett suggests 2026 won’t be the year either.

When a politician tells you to “follow the money,” believe them. The money in Texas is telling us this Senate race is already over—and Democrats know it, even if they won’t admit it publicly.

Crockett just did.